Imprecise probabilities as a semantics for intuitive probabilistic reasoning

Abstract

I prove a connection between the logical framework for intuitive probabilistic reasoning (IPR) introduced by Crane (2017) and sets of imprecise probabilities. More specifically, this connection provides a straightforward interpretation to sets of imprecise probabilities as subjective credal states, giving a formal semantics for Crane's formal system of IPR. The main theorem establishes the IPR framework as a potential logical foundation for imprecise probability that is independent of the traditional probability calculus.

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➤  Version 1 (2018-08-21)

Citations

Harry Crane (2018). Imprecise probabilities as a semantics for intuitive probabilistic reasoning. Researchers.One. https://researchers.one/articles/18.08.00005v1

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