Foundations of Probability Seminars

Monday, February 8th, 2021 – Saturday, December 31st, 2022
* All times are in the America/New_York timezone.

Description:

Weekly discussions about topics on the foundations, philosophy and application of probability. Schedule available at www.harrycrane.com/seminar.html.

*** Note this seminar does not stream through Researchers.One. Participants should join the Zoom directly at

https://zoom.us/j/6299062131?pwd=NVBMOFIrNGtrSEIvNE9hZVVTZ054Zz09

Registration fee:

$0

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Schedule

Monday, February 8th, 2021
Worthy of study, worthy of honor? (4:30 PM – 6:30 PM)
Harry Crane

(chair)

Distinguished Panel
Discussion on the topic of memorialization and de-memorialization
Monday, February 15th, 2021
Belief Hedges: correcting for subjective beliefs when measuring ambiguity attitudes even when those beliefs are unknown (4:30 PM – 6:30 PM)
Harry Crane

(chair)

Peter Wakker
Belief Hedges: correcting for subjective beliefs when measuring ambiguity attitudes even when those beliefs are unknown
Monday, February 22nd, 2021
An interval-valued utility theory for decision making with Dempster-Shafer belief functions (4:30 PM – 6:30 PM)
Harry Crane

(chair)

Prakash Shenoy
An interval-valued utility theory for decision making with Dempster-Shafer belief functions
Monday, March 1st, 2021
Reconciling Evidential and Causal Decision Theory (4:30 PM – 6:30 PM)
Harry Crane

(chair)

Simon Huttegger
Reconciling Evidential and Causal Decision Theory
Monday, March 8th, 2021
Accuracy for Sets of Almost Desirable Gambles (4:30 PM – 6:30 PM)
Harry Crane

(chair)

Jason Konek
Accuracy for Sets of Almost Desirable Gambles
Monday, March 22nd, 2021
Probability Filters as a Model of Belief (4:30 PM – 6:30 PM)
Harry Crane

(chair)

Catrin Campbell-Moore
Probability Filters as a Model of Belief
Monday, April 5th, 2021
Fisher, Bayes, and predictive Bayesian inference (4:30 PM – 6:30 PM)
Harry Crane

(chair)

Sandy Zabell
Fisher, Bayes, and predictive Bayesian inference
Monday, April 12th, 2021
Where are the chances? (4:30 PM – 6:30 PM)
Harry Crane

(chair)

Katie Elliot
Where are the chances?
Monday, April 19th, 2021
Research in investment management And their applications in various markets Including speculative markets in sports And cask and futures equity markets (4:30 PM – 6:30 PM)
Harry Crane

(chair)

William Ziemba
Research in investment management And their applications in various markets Including speculative markets in sports And cask and futures equity markets
Monday, January 24th, 2022
Panel: Should decision theory guide the formulation of the principal principle? (4:00 PM – 5:30 PM)

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